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2024-12-13 10:27:12

This afternoon, the Government of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region welcomed the passage of the Stamp Duty Legislation (Miscellaneous Amendments) Bill 2024 by the Legislative Council, which exempted the transfer of shares or units of real estate investment trusts and the securities distribution business of option makers, and revised the stamp duty collection arrangements under the paperless securities market system in Hong Kong.The latest CPI data will be released tonight. The market expects the overall inflation rate to be 2.7%, 0.1 percentage point higher than that in October, and the core inflation rate is expected to be 3.3%, which is the same as that in October. Although the forecast data shows that the suppression of inflation by monetary policy is close to stagnation, it has dropped sharply compared with the previous peak of 9%. At present, the latest FEDWATCH data shows that the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates next Tuesday is over 80%.A shares: the latest release of Shanghai Stock Exchange! Incremental funds are coming, and it is likely to continue to rise on Thursday!


At present, there is nothing wrong with the medium and long-term trend, so don't worry too much. Strategically, we will continue to watch more. Tactically, we will follow the trend and take the initiative step by step.Federal Reserve's December OutlookIf we can continue to cut interest rates in December, it will undoubtedly be a big plus for A shares, and the pressure on the exchange rate will be further reduced, which may become a turning point in the short term.


Yesterday, the market opened higher and went lower, and the shape looked very poor. Many friends today estimated that they were prepared to continue the downward adjustment, but in fact, the market was still relatively stable today. Although the increase was not large, there was no sharp diving in the plate, as if it were held by a hand. Yes, it is really held up now, because it is now in a state of high control, so everyone has seen the recent trend. Excluding yesterday, it is still relatively stable. How many investors expect the market to fall down and get on the bus, but it just won't come down. The 3150 gap below is counted this week, and it has not been replenished for 11 weeks. It cannot be said that the market is not strong. So can the market continue to rise tomorrow? Let's make a detailed analysis and give you a reference.Statement: Personal opinion, for reference only!This is a real long-term positive, which is manifested in three aspects: first, it is conducive to attracting investors to invest in the broad-based index through personal pension accounts; Second, it is helpful to inject new long-term funds into the capital market, optimize the investor structure, stabilize the market and promote the healthy development of the capital market; Third, it reflects the care of the regulatory authorities for the capital market and helps to enhance investors' confidence.

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